Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.202128 0.234644 0.270751 0.313829 0.363845 0.420112 0.488257
2025-05-11 0.150249 0.193311 0.246256 0.316190 0.406252 0.518502 0.669320
2025-05-18 0.120783 0.166750 0.227351 0.313203 0.431942 0.590763 0.820039
2025-05-25 0.098789 0.144425 0.208104 0.303609 0.443612 0.641989 0.945689
2025-06-01 0.087423 0.134321 0.203066 0.311409 0.478479 0.727402 1.128518
2025-06-08 0.076898 0.123503 0.194883 0.312471 0.502191 0.797842 1.296631
2025-06-15 0.069391 0.116042 0.190416 0.317993 0.532525 0.880869 1.493799
2025-06-22 0.060791 0.105509 0.179477 0.311174 0.541237 0.929224 1.638932
2025-06-29 0.054308 0.097592 0.171698 0.308325 0.555683 0.987923 1.807934
2025-07-06 0.049547 0.092005 0.167104 0.310202 0.578180 1.062463 2.013487
2025-07-13 0.047288 0.090608 0.169654 0.325102 0.625780 1.186947 2.326066
2025-07-20 0.044688 0.088217 0.170029 0.335821 0.666538 1.302995 2.636395
2025-07-27 0.041985 0.085388 0.169412 0.344886 0.705882 1.422302 2.971534
2025-08-03 0.038781 0.081184 0.165662 0.347305 0.732358 1.519687 3.275523
2025-08-10 0.035369 0.076115 0.159549 0.344025 0.746458 1.593200 3.538126
2025-08-17 0.031680 0.069999 0.150550 0.333477 0.743642 1.630633 3.726543
2025-08-24 0.030065 0.068178 0.150387 0.342052 0.783584 1.764525 4.148035
2025-08-31 0.027997 0.065091 0.147108 0.343221 0.806898 1.864140 4.503043
2025-09-07 0.026495 0.063111 0.146045 0.349292 0.842166 1.994780 4.948166
2025-09-14 0.024184 0.058957 0.139556 0.341794 0.844266 2.048180 5.211596
2025-09-21 0.022386 0.055827 0.135104 0.338662 0.856566 2.127271 5.549475
2025-09-28 0.021070 0.053723 0.132865 0.340726 0.882044 2.241522 5.992523
2025-10-05 0.020666 0.053871 0.136134 0.357108 0.946073 2.459922 6.738782